NBA high total overs
FREETake the over when the total is 236 or more. One unit per game at the Novig price. The other side: NBA high total unders →
Sports Index
0 following
- Season PnL
- −$121
- Bets
- 14
- Record
- 6–8
- ROI
- −17.3%
- CLV
- −0.2¢
- Max drawdown
- −$257
- Streak
- W2
- Open
- 0
NBA high total overs
Account value
Charting
Chart settingsKept in this browser
Measure
Time axis
Game days in order, with the breaks between them shortened so the games keep the width.
Show on the chart
Gain/loss shadingGreen above where it started, red below
No-game breaksHatch the stretches with no games between game days
Week linesA divider where each week starts
Open positionsHow many bets were open, under the chart
Trade markersWhere each bet was placed, and where it settled
SmoothingZoomed out, nearby points share their last value. Off draws every point.
Placed
Open
Won
Lost
BetsHow it's calculated
Other
−17%
Milwaukee Bucks at Washington Wizards
WON
+96%
Minnesota Timberwolves at Miami Heat
LOST
−100%
Chicago Bulls at Toronto Raptors
LOST
−100%
Utah Jazz at Memphis Grizzlies
LOST
−100%
Indiana Pacers at New Orleans Pelicans
WON
+96%
Cleveland Cavaliers at Philadelphia 76ers
LOST
−100%
Denver Nuggets at Oklahoma City Thunder
LOST
−100%
Chicago Bulls at Milwaukee Bucks
WON
+96%
Dallas Mavericks at Indiana Pacers
LOST
−100%
Toronto Raptors at Washington Wizards
LOST
−100%
New Orleans Pelicans at Utah Jazz
WON
+96%
Memphis Grizzlies at Golden State Warriors
LOST
−100%
Washington Wizards at Chicago Bulls
WON
+90%
New Orleans Pelicans at Denver Nuggets
WON
+84%
Los Angeles Lakers at Utah Jazz
QUALIFIES
Memphis Grizzlies at Sacramento Kings
QUALIFIES
All bets
| Week | Game | Pick | Total | Result | Entry | CLV | Return | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | Milwaukee Bucks at Washington Wizards |
Over 239.5 | 244 | WON | 51¢ | — | +96% | +0.96u |
| Other | Minnesota Timberwolves at Miami Heat |
Over 240.5 | 237 | LOST | 51¢ | — | −100% | −1.00u |
| Other | Chicago Bulls at Toronto Raptors |
Over 237.5 | 227 | LOST | 51¢ | — | −100% | −1.00u |
| Other | Utah Jazz at Memphis Grizzlies |
Over 240.5 | 226 | LOST | 51¢ | — | −100% | −1.00u |
| Other | Indiana Pacers at New Orleans Pelicans |
Over 238.5 | 243 | WON | 51¢ | — | +96% | +0.96u |
| Other | Cleveland Cavaliers at Philadelphia 76ers |
Over 237.5 | 220 | LOST | 51¢ | — | −100% | −1.00u |
| Other | Denver Nuggets at Oklahoma City Thunder |
Over 236.5 | 180 | LOST | 51¢ | — | −100% | −1.00u |
| Other | Chicago Bulls at Milwaukee Bucks |
Over 241.5 | 257 | WON | 51¢ | — | +96% | +0.96u |
| Other | Dallas Mavericks at Indiana Pacers |
Over 241.5 | 226 | LOST | 51¢ | — | −100% | −1.00u |
| Other | Toronto Raptors at Washington Wizards |
Over 236.5 | 214 | LOST | 51¢ | — | −100% | −1.00u |
| Other | New Orleans Pelicans at Utah Jazz |
Over 238.5 | 239 | WON | 51¢ | — | +96% | +0.96u |
| Other | Memphis Grizzlies at Golden State Warriors |
Over 236.5 | 219 | LOST | 51¢ | — | −100% | −1.00u |
| Other | Washington Wizards at Chicago Bulls |
Over 243.5 | 244 | WON | 52¢ | −1¢ | +90% | +0.91u |
| Other | New Orleans Pelicans at Denver Nuggets |
Over 237.5 | 276 | WON | 55¢ | 0¢ | +84% | +0.83u |
| Other | Los Angeles Lakers at Utah Jazz |
Over 237.5 | QUALIFIES | 51¢ | — | |||
| Other | Memphis Grizzlies at Sacramento Kings |
Over 236.5 | QUALIFIES | 46¢ | — |
The other side
Every graded bet taken the other way, in hindsight- Record
- 8–6
- P&L
- +$116
- ROI
- +16.6%
- Bets
- 14
Not part of the record. It's tracked as its own strategy, NBA high total unders →. Estimated at 1 − price: these bets were placed before the other side's price was recorded.
What stands out
Groups with 3+ graded bets
TEAM
+92%
New Orleans Pelicans
TEAM
+29%
Chicago Bulls
KICKOFF
−35%
Not a Saturday
CONFERENCE
−28%
Western Conference
Small samples. Each one opens its card below.
Close calls
Final against the line2 of 14 bets landed within 3 points of the number
Missed by 60The numberBeat by 60
WonLostInside 3 points: 2 won, 0 lost
By total
TotalBetsRecordWin rateROIUnits
Under 222
—
—
—
—
222–228.5
—
—
—
—
229–235.5
—
—
—
—
236 and up
14
6–8
43%
−17%
−2.42
Grouped by the total the bet took.
By entry price
Entry priceBetsRecordWin rateROIUnits
Under 45¢
—
—
—
—
45–49¢
—
—
—
—
50–54¢
14
6–8
43%
−17%
−2.42
55¢ and up
—
—
—
—
Grouped by the Novig price paid at entry.
By kickoff
KickoffBetsRecordWin rateROIUnits
Saturday before 3 PM
—
—
—
—
Saturday 3 to 7 PM
—
—
—
—
Saturday 7 PM or later
2
2–0
100%
+87%
+1.74
Not a Saturday
12
4–8
33%
−35%
−4.16
Grouped by kickoff, Eastern time.
By closing line
Closing lineBetsRecordWin rateROIUnits
Beat the close
—
—
—
—
Even with the close
1
1–0
100%
+83%
+0.83
Worse than the close
1
1–0
100%
+91%
+0.91
No close
12
4–8
33%
−35%
−4.16
Grouped by the entry price against Novig's last price before kickoff.
By conference
ConferenceBetsRecordWin rateROIUnits
Eastern Conference
9
4–5
44%
−13%
−1.21
Western Conference
8
3–5
38%
−28%
−2.24
A game counts once for each conference in it.
By team
TeamBetsRecordWin rateROIUnits
New Orleans Pelicans
3
3–0
100%
+92%
+2.76
Milwaukee Bucks
2
2–0
100%
+96%
+1.92
Chicago Bulls
3
2–1
67%
+29%
+0.87
Washington Wizards
3
2–1
67%
+29%
+0.87
Indiana Pacers
2
1–1
50%
−2%
−0.04
Utah Jazz
2
1–1
50%
−2%
−0.04
Denver Nuggets
2
1–1
50%
−8%
−0.17
Cleveland Cavaliers
1
0–1
0%
−100%
−1.00
Dallas Mavericks
1
0–1
0%
−100%
−1.00
Golden State Warriors
1
0–1
0%
−100%
−1.00
Miami Heat
1
0–1
0%
−100%
−1.00
Minnesota Timberwolves
1
0–1
0%
−100%
−1.00
Oklahoma City Thunder
1
0–1
0%
−100%
−1.00
Philadelphia 76ers
1
0–1
0%
−100%
−1.00
Memphis Grizzlies
2
0–2
0%
−100%
−2.00
Toronto Raptors
2
0–2
0%
−100%
−2.00
A game counts for both teams in it.
How it bets
- 1
Qualifies
The Novig total is 236 or more, any game.
- 2
Bet
Over.
Full-game total, Novig main line.
- 3
Placed
60 minutes before tipoff, at the Novig ask price.
The rule is checked again then. A game that no longer qualifies gets no bet.
- 4
Stake
1 unit, flat. A win pays (1 − price) ÷ price units.
- 5
Graded
Final score from the game page. A game not finished within 7 days voids.
No bet when
Novig has no offer on that side, or its prices are more than 45 minutes old.
League
NBA regular season, on Novig.
History
Live from October 25, 2026. Before then, a paper simulation from the start of the season: the rule run on Novig's lines where Sports Index kept them and DraftKings' closing lines otherwise, with asks estimated, graded on the final score.
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