NBA road favorites
FREETake the road team against the spread whenever it is favored. One unit per game at the Novig price. The other side: NBA home underdogs →
Sports Index
0 following
- Season PnL
- +$228
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 8–3
- ROI
- +41.4%
- CLV
- +0.5¢
- Max drawdown
- −$114
- Streak
- W2
- Open
- 0
NBA road favorites
Account value
Charting
Chart settingsKept in this browser
Measure
Time axis
Game days in order, with the breaks between them shortened so the games keep the width.
Show on the chart
Gain/loss shadingGreen above where it started, red below
No-game breaksHatch the stretches with no games between game days
Week linesA divider where each week starts
Open positionsHow many bets were open, under the chart
Trade markersWhere each bet was placed, and where it settled
SmoothingZoomed out, nearby points share their last value. Off draws every point.
Placed
Open
Won
Lost
BetsHow it's calculated
Other
+41%
Boston Celtics at Detroit Pistons
LOST
−100%
Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs
WON
+94%
Charlotte Hornets at Brooklyn Nets
WON
+94%
Indiana Pacers at New Orleans Pelicans
WON
+94%
Atlanta Hawks at Charlotte Hornets
WON
+94%
Toronto Raptors at Washington Wizards
WON
+94%
Detroit Pistons at Miami Heat
WON
+94%
Portland Trail Blazers at Sacramento Kings
LOST
−100%
Miami Heat at Charlotte Hornets
LOST
−100%
Washington Wizards at Chicago Bulls
WON
+122%
San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks
WON
+68%
Los Angeles Lakers at Utah Jazz
QUALIFIES
Indiana Pacers at Brooklyn Nets
QUALIFIES
Memphis Grizzlies at Sacramento Kings
QUALIFIES
All bets
| Week | Game | Pick | Margin | Result | Entry | CLV | Return | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | Boston Celtics at Detroit Pistons |
Boston Celtics −1.5 | Lost by 8 | LOST | 52¢ | — | −100% | −1.00u |
| Other | Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs |
Oklahoma City Thunder −1.5 | Won by 12 | WON | 52¢ | — | +94% | +0.94u |
| Other | Charlotte Hornets at Brooklyn Nets |
Charlotte Hornets −1.5 | Won by 7 | WON | 52¢ | — | +94% | +0.94u |
| Other | Indiana Pacers at New Orleans Pelicans |
Indiana Pacers −2.5 | Won by 3 | WON | 52¢ | — | +94% | +0.94u |
| Other | Atlanta Hawks at Charlotte Hornets |
Atlanta Hawks −2.5 | Won by 47 | WON | 52¢ | — | +94% | +0.94u |
| Other | Toronto Raptors at Washington Wizards |
Toronto Raptors −9.5 | Won by 10 | WON | 52¢ | — | +94% | +0.94u |
| Other | Detroit Pistons at Miami Heat |
Detroit Pistons −2.5 | Won by 17 | WON | 52¢ | — | +94% | +0.94u |
| Other | Portland Trail Blazers at Sacramento Kings |
Portland Trail Blazers −9.5 | Won by 8 | LOST | 52¢ | — | −100% | −1.00u |
| Other | Miami Heat at Charlotte Hornets |
Miami Heat −3.5 | Lost by 5 | LOST | 52¢ | +3¢ | −100% | −1.00u |
| Other | Washington Wizards at Chicago Bulls |
Washington Wizards −1.5 | Won by 4 | WON | 45¢ | −1¢ | +122% | +1.22u |
| Other | San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks |
San Antonio Spurs −12.5 | Won by 16 | WON | 60¢ | −1¢ | +68% | +0.68u |
| Other | Los Angeles Lakers at Utah Jazz |
Los Angeles Lakers −6.5 | QUALIFIES | 50¢ | — | |||
| Other | Indiana Pacers at Brooklyn Nets |
Indiana Pacers −7.5 | QUALIFIES | 50¢ | — | |||
| Other | Memphis Grizzlies at Sacramento Kings |
Memphis Grizzlies −3.5 | QUALIFIES | 52¢ | — |
The other side
Every graded bet taken the other way, in hindsight- Record
- 3–8
- P&L
- −$240
- ROI
- −43.6%
- Bets
- 11
Not part of the record. It's tracked as its own strategy, NBA home underdogs →. Estimated at 1 − price: these bets were placed before the other side's price was recorded.
What stands out
Groups with 3+ graded betsSmall samples. Each one opens its card below.
Close calls
Final against the line4 of 11 bets landed within 3 points of the number
Missed by 45The numberBeat by 45
WonLostInside 3 points: 3 won, 1 lost
By spread
SpreadBetsRecordWin rateROIUnits
4 or less
8
6–2
75%
+49%
+3.93
4.5–7
—
—
—
—
7.5–9.5
2
1–1
50%
−3%
−0.06
10 and up
1
1–0
100%
+68%
+0.68
Grouped by the size of the spread.
By entry price
Entry priceBetsRecordWin rateROIUnits
Under 45¢
—
—
—
—
45–49¢
1
1–0
100%
+122%
+1.22
50–54¢
9
6–3
67%
+29%
+2.65
55¢ and up
1
1–0
100%
+68%
+0.68
Grouped by the Novig price paid at entry.
By kickoff
KickoffBetsRecordWin rateROIUnits
Saturday before 3 PM
—
—
—
—
Saturday 3 to 7 PM
1
0–1
0%
−100%
−1.00
Saturday 7 PM or later
2
2–0
100%
+95%
+1.90
Not a Saturday
8
6–2
75%
+46%
+3.65
Grouped by kickoff, Eastern time.
By closing line
Closing lineBetsRecordWin rateROIUnits
Beat the close
1
0–1
0%
−100%
−1.00
Even with the close
—
—
—
—
Worse than the close
2
2–0
100%
+95%
+1.90
No close
8
6–2
75%
+46%
+3.65
Grouped by the entry price against Novig's last price before kickoff.
By conference
ConferenceBetsRecordWin rateROIUnits
Eastern Conference
8
6–2
75%
+49%
+3.93
Western Conference
4
3–1
75%
+39%
+1.56
A game counts once for each conference in it.
By team
TeamBetsRecordWin rateROIUnits
Washington Wizards
2
2–0
100%
+108%
+2.16
San Antonio Spurs
2
2–0
100%
+81%
+1.62
Chicago Bulls
1
1–0
100%
+122%
+1.22
Atlanta Hawks
1
1–0
100%
+94%
+0.94
Brooklyn Nets
1
1–0
100%
+94%
+0.94
Indiana Pacers
1
1–0
100%
+94%
+0.94
New Orleans Pelicans
1
1–0
100%
+94%
+0.94
Oklahoma City Thunder
1
1–0
100%
+94%
+0.94
Toronto Raptors
1
1–0
100%
+94%
+0.94
Charlotte Hornets
3
2–1
67%
+29%
+0.88
Dallas Mavericks
1
1–0
100%
+68%
+0.68
Detroit Pistons
2
1–1
50%
−3%
−0.06
Miami Heat
2
1–1
50%
−3%
−0.06
Boston Celtics
1
0–1
0%
−100%
−1.00
Portland Trail Blazers
1
0–1
0%
−100%
−1.00
Sacramento Kings
1
0–1
0%
−100%
−1.00
A game counts for both teams in it.
How it bets
- 1
Qualifies
The home team is the underdog on the spread, any game.
- 2
Bet
Road team.
Full-game spread, Novig main line.
- 3
Placed
60 minutes before tipoff, at the Novig ask price.
The rule is checked again then. A game that no longer qualifies gets no bet.
- 4
Stake
1 unit, flat. A win pays (1 − price) ÷ price units.
- 5
Graded
Final score from the game page. A game not finished within 7 days voids.
No bet when
Novig has no offer on that side, or its prices are more than 45 minutes old.
League
NBA regular season, on Novig.
History
Live from October 25, 2026. Before then, a paper simulation from the start of the season: the rule run on Novig's lines where Sports Index kept them and DraftKings' closing lines otherwise, with asks estimated, graded on the final score.
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